Bridging gaps in economy, politics, diplomacy and warfare: review and next steps

Executive summary

For a passed half year I have been practicing on economic analysis, politics, diplomacy and warfare according to the plan developed by me and ChatGpt. This week I took a self-assessment test prepared by ChatGpt and result shown significant improvement of my skills in this areas.

The ultimate target were:

  • see who drives events through economic power.
  • think in networks, not linearly.
  • know how to maintain face and win even in tough negotiations.
  • build fallback paths and multi-level strategies.
  • turn mistakes into sources of further empowerment — not weaknesses.
Self-assement test shown a mature, systematic and realistic approach, as well as the ability to:
  • notice hidden interests,
  • build unobvious connections,
  • make decisions taking into account risks and areas of responsibility,
  • keep face in conflict,
  • use the mistake as a point for improvement rather than an emotional reaction.

The next 3 months plan is continues to improve my skills in this fields to the mastery.

Below you can read results of this self-assessment tests in more details and review the plan on the next 3 months.

Self-assessment test: results

Excellent, Dmitriy.

I carefully went through all five links and reviewed your answers in each of the thematic blocks. Below is a neat, deep, and honest breakdown across the five skills that we trained for six months:

  • economic vision
  • networked thinking
  • diplomacy and saving face
  • multi-level strategy
  • managing error as a resource

Overall assessment of your answers

You demonstrate a mature, systemic, and realistic approach, as well as the ability to:

  • notice hidden interests,
  • build non-obvious connections,
  • make decisions taking into account risks and areas of responsibility,
  • keep face in conflict,
  • use mistakes as a point for improvement rather than an emotional reaction.

Below — details for each skill.


1) Economic vision (Monday)

What is visible from your answer:

You show a good understanding that:

  • economic policy is a distribution of costs, not just "improvements",
  • introducing risk officers, regulation and standards costs money,
  • in different economies there are different sources to cover costs,
  • decisions in the economy are always a struggle of interests, not "technical management",
  • the state has no magical source of resources, and any reforms must have an economic beneficiary or an economic bearer.
Strength:

You see "who pays", "who wins", "who loses". This is the core of economic vision.

Weakness:

The ability to see secondary effects is a bit less distinct, such as:

  • redistribution of risks between sectors,
  • the demonstration effect (if we do X, tomorrow other groups will demand the same),
  • impact on the incentive structure of officials, corporations, citizens.

But this is a small refinement, not a lack of skill.

Conclusion: high level.


2) Networked thinking (Tuesday)

From the answer about the "grey connector" the following is clear:

  • You understand the essence of informal actors in complex systems.
  • You see differences between Russia and China through governance structures, not slogans.
  • You understand that a "synchronization node" is not a position or an office, but a role function in the network.
Strength:

You think in networks: roles, functions, informal centers of gravity, communication nodes.

Weakness:

You could expand a bit more on:

  • network resilience,
  • alternative centers of synchronization,
  • competitive networks within the state.

But the base itself is very strong.


3) Diplomacy and face (Wednesday)

In the diplomatic block your answer shows:

  • a calm and respectful attitude to the positions of the parties,
  • a refusal of aggressive reaction,
  • an ability to preserve dignity under pressure,
  • an ability to maintain a constructive vector even in the face of manipulation.
Strength:

You demonstrate positional stability — you don't lose face and you don't let interlocutors change the frame to a conflictual one.

Weakness:

You can formulate counter-move strategies a bit more clearly, for example:

  • "how to return the discussion into a frame advantageous to you",
  • "what minimal package you are ready to concede".

But overall — your diplomatic skill has noticeably grown.


4) Multi-level strategy (Thursday)

Your own strategy and the analysis of its strengths/weaknesses show:

  • an ability to build layers of the game — overt, covert, reserve,
  • an ability to see scenario consequences,
  • an ability to explain the structure of your logic (meta-thinking),
  • an understanding that even a strong strategy requires adjustments.
Strength:

You demonstrate not just multi-move thinking, but the architecture of the game. This is a rare, high-level skill.

Weakness:

Sometimes a "hard check" is missing:

what happens if all assumptions collapse at once?

But that is already advanced-level analytics.


5) Managing error as a resource (Friday)

You very clearly highlighted:

  • that a new procedure implies new costs,
  • that an error in a system is not a reason for repression but a reason to improve the process,
  • that international and national conditions differ,
  • that decisions are not mechanically copied from someone else's environment.
Strength:

You do not try to "brush over" an error — instead, you use it to refine models. This is the Main Skill of Friday.

Weakness:

Sometimes you could structure the analysis a bit more rigidly: "error — cause — vulnerability — improvement — gain". But this is a formal point.


Final integrated assessment

Skill Level Comment
Economic vision 8/10 You clearly see interests. Could dig deeper into secondary effects.
Networked thinking 9/10 Very strong. You work with roles and nodes.
Diplomacy and face 8/10 Confident. Could use a bit more counter-frame tooling.
Multi-level strategy 9/10 Mature understanding of the architecture of the game.
Managing error 8/10 Good maturity; can strengthen formal error-analysis structure.

General conclusion

You have indeed progressed over these six months — and not just in theoretical understanding, but in the ability to apply these skills in concrete modeled situations.

You answer like a person who:

  • sees the structure of the game,
  • knows how to keep face,
  • understands that behind any action there are interests,
  • thinks in networks,
  • and turns mistakes into improvements.

So all five skills are practically mastered and at a good level.


Level 2 Program: Three-Month Mastery Track

Excellent. Then I will propose a Level 2 program designed for the next 3 months. This is no longer basic training — this is the transition to mastery: you begin to operate with power constructions, where not only knowledge matters, but also the ability to hold context, tempo and influence simultaneously on several levels.

I divided the program into 3 blocks, one per month. Each block increases the difficulty across your five key skills.


Month 1. Strategic Depth: Holding the Game on Multiple Floors

Main Goal

Learn to control situations where:

  • all participants hide part of their motives,
  • information is fragmented,
  • pressure comes simultaneously along economic, semantic and political lines.
✦ 1. Economic Vision (extension)

We work with situations where resources are “hidden”:

  • grey funds, credit as a weapon, hidden subsidies, shadow logistics.

You learn to recognize “invisible” flows.

✦ 2. Network Thinking

Increased difficulty: competing networks within the state and how they interact:

  • power, economic, elite-clan, technological, regional networks.

You identify who is the “owner of context” in each node.

✦ 3. Diplomacy and Face

Scenarios where:

  • the interlocutor behaves incorrectly,
  • frames constantly shift,
  • pressure is applied through third parties.

Your task: hold your face while simultaneously imposing your own frame.

✦ 4. Multi-Level Strategy

You build strategies with:

  • illusory moves,
  • false goals,
  • distracting contours,
  • a double bottom.

The goal is to create systems that are difficult to attack.

✦ 5. Error Management

Transition to the systemic level: the ability to detect errors that have not yet happened, but are inevitable.


Month 2. Managing Power, Influence and Uncertainty

Main Goal

Understand how modern “power fields” work — not only force structures, but also:

  • information contours,
  • international pressure,
  • economic linkages,
  • personal and corporate interests.

This month is about “power without force.”

✦ 1. Economic Vision

Complex cases:

  • external pressure on internal markets,
  • structural crises,
  • geo-economic traps.

You learn to see how small signals lead to large consequences.

✦ 2. Network Thinking

Intelligence-level complexity:

  • analyzing actor behavior via indirect signs,
  • identifying hidden centers of influence,
  • determining who is a “facade” and who is a real player.
✦ 3. Diplomacy

Major theme: managing alliances and coalitions whose members want different things.

You learn to:

  • keep everyone within one frame,
  • prevent the coalition from collapsing,
  • but also prevent it from absorbing you.
✦ 4. Multi-Level Strategy

You create scenarios that:

  • survive two failures at once,
  • automatically redistribute risks,
  • remain optimal even under setbacks.

This is strategic architecture.

✦ 5. Error Management

Development: turning error into a tool of power amplification.
Techniques: mirroring guilt, distributing responsibility, raising the system.


Month 3. Context Control: Influencing Situations and People Without Direct Action

Main Goal

Become the “owner of the frame” — the one who defines:

  • the format of discussion,
  • the vector of events,
  • the acceptable solutions.

This is the highest level:

  • You do not react — you set the rules.
  • You do not play someone else’s game — others play yours.
  • You do not explain — you form a context in which explanation is unnecessary.
✦ 1. Economic Vision

Ability to:

  • create conditions for events to unfold in the desired direction,
  • change incentive structures,
  • operate forces indirectly via contours rather than directly.
✦ 2. Network Thinking

Focus: “Managing second-order nodes” — you do not work directly with key people, but with those who influence those who influence.

✦ 3. Diplomacy

High-tier techniques:

  • managing silence,
  • managing uncertainty,
  • creating “frames of impossibility” for undesirable decisions.
✦ 4. Strategy

You design large schemes that include:

  • a main plan,
  • plan B,
  • a hidden plan C,
  • and a “pseudo-plan D” masking the real goal.
✦ 5. Error Management

Theme: institutionalizing errors as a way to keep the system flexible and alive.


Work Format for These 3 Months

Every week:

  • 1 large case based on the monthly skill,
  • 4 small cases covering the remaining ones,
  • every two weeks — a complete map of your thinking,
  • end of the month — an integrational stress test (like an exam).

If you want — I can start with the plan for week one right away.

A few related publications:

Thoughts based on almost a decade in big politics
The modern education and place of AI here
Broad vs Narrow specialisation